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Polls give mixed messages ahead of May 5 election
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Polls give mixed messages ahead of May 5 election
Prime Minister Tony Blair has received mixed messages from two polls ahead of the upcoming general election, with one putting Labour well ahead of the opposition Conservatives and another showing them tied.
An ICM poll for the Daily Mirror newspaper yesterday put Labour on 38 percent, five points clear of the Conservatives on 33 and the Liberal Democrats on 22. The paper said this would see Blair win a third term in the May 5 election, but with his 161 majority in the lower House of Commons reduced to 100. The ICM poll was at odds with a YouGov survey for the Daily Telegraph newspaper which had Labour unchanged from last month on 36 percent, tied with the Conservatives, up one point. The Liberal Democrats fell one to 20 percent.
The electoral map, which concentrates constituencies in Labour?s urban strongholds, means the Conservatives must win a larger share of the vote than Labour to take power. Most polls have put Blair ahead of opposition leader Michael Howard since the campaign started in earnest last Monday. Blair?s personal trust ratings slumped over the Iraq war and the subsequent failure to find any weapons of mass destruction ? the reason he gave for joining the conflict.
The YouGov poll found 54 percent thought Britain was wrong to support the US-led invasion of Iraq, 31 percent thought it was right and 15 percent were undecided. Blair has sought to focus attention on domestic issues, especially the economy. But a third poll for the Financial Times newspaper found nine out of 10 British finance directors believe Labour will raise taxes if it wins. More than half of the 200 polled by MORI said Labour?s policies would not improve the economy in the longer term.
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