President George W. Bush’s campaign declared victory over Democratic Sen. John Kerry and claimed re-election to a second term in the White House yesterday, but Kerry refused to concede until all ballots were counted in Ohio. In a dispute that evoked memories of the prolonged election recount in Florida in 2000, questions about provisional and absentee ballots in the potentially decisive state of Ohio delayed the outcome of a contested presidential election.

Ohio was crucial to the electoral calculations of both candidates as they tried to piece together the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House. Without Ohio, neither candidate reached the magic number. White House Chief of Staff Andrew Card, in a pre-dawn appearance before Bush supporters at a planned victory rally, said Bush had compiled a “statistically insurmountable” lead in Ohio and had won a majority of the popular vote.

“We are convinced that President Bush has won re-election,” Card said, adding Bush would make a statement later yesterday. Kerry’s running mate, Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina, told supporters in Boston there would be no concession until all votes had been counted in Ohio. “It’s been a long night, but we’ve waited four years for this victory, we can wait one more night,” Edwards said, adding: “We will fight for every vote.”

<B>Long lines of votes</B>

Two television networks projected Bush would win Ohio but three others did not make a call as Bush took a lead of 125,000 votes with 100 percent of precincts reporting. It appeared unlikely yesterday that there were enough votes left uncounted to close the gap. Ohio’s Republican Secretary of State Ken Blackwell said there could have been as many as 175,000 provisional ballots cast after voters had their registrations questioned.

It was a bad night for Democrats nationwide, as Republicans expanded their majorities in the Senate and House of Representatives and knocked off Senate Democratic Leader Tom Daschle of South Dakota. That will make it easier for Bush to push his conservative agenda through Congress if he is re-elected, potentially making his tax cuts permanent and appointing more federal judges including possibly some US Supreme Court justices.

Bush captured Florida, the biggest of the toss-up battleground states, and rolled up wins across the country to move within reach of victory. Kerry won Pennsylvania’s 21 electoral votes but New Hampshire was the only state won by Bush in the bitter 2000 election that he had captured.

Long voter lines were reported nationwide and few major voting glitches were recorded in the final act of a presidential campaign marked by deep disputes over the war in Iraq, the fight against terrorism and the economy. Kerry had challenged Bush’s decision to go to war in Iraq without adequate allied backing and his economic record of tax cuts, job losses and burgeoning budget deficits. But Bush’s argument that he could keep America safe after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on Washington and New York, and his criticism of Kerry as an ineffective and flip-flopping leader, resonated with enough voters to put him on the verge of a win.

With 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House, Bush had captured 28 states with 254 electoral votes. Kerry won 20 states and 252 votes. Bush held a lead of nearly 4 million votes over Kerry nationwide with 98 percent of the precincts reporting. Still undecided were Iowa, New Mexico and Ohio, but only Ohio could make either candidate a winner.

<B>Giant boost in his bid for re-election</B>

Bush’s projected win in Florida, where his brother Jeb is governor, gave him a giant boost in his bid for re-election and added 27 electoral votes to his column. Bush, who watched the results in the White House with his family, including his father, former President George Bush, said early in the evening he was confident of victory.

“We’re very upbeat, thank you,” Bush told reporters. “I believe I will win.” Kerry, watching the results in his hometown of Boston, did not make an appearance before reporters but sent out aides to predict a win.

The dollar lost ground and US Treasury prices firmed early on Wednesday after the uncertainty in Ohio made the market more cautious about betting on a Bush victory. The lingering bitterness over that election, when Bush lost the popular vote to Democrat Al Gore but narrowly won the Electoral College after the US Supreme Court stopped a vote recount in Florida, fueled Democratic get-out-the vote efforts this year.

SNAPSHOTS

<B>US election campaign</B>

■ White House Chief of Staff Andrew Card says President Bush has a “statistically insurmountable” lead in the key state of Ohio and has won a majority of the popular vote nationwide but will hold off a formal victory declaration to give Democrat John Kerry “time to reflect” on the results.

■ With 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House, Bush had captured 254 electoral votes, according to television projections. Kerry won 252 votes.

■ The races in Ohio, Iowa and New Mexico were still too close to call.

■ The race appears to hinge on Ohio where, with 99 percent of the state’s precincts counted Bush was leading Kerry by 134,019. There could have been as many as 175,000 provisional ballots cast but only 135,149 had so far been tallied.

■ Without Ohio, neither candidate can reach the magic 270 number. A 269-269 electoral tie would throw the race to the Republican-led House of Representatives, where Bush would be almost certain to win.

■ Final Ohio vote may not be known for two weeks.

■ Bush captured Florida, the biggest of the toss-up battleground states.

■ Republicans retained control of the Senate with 53 seats to 44 for Democrats and one independnet. Two senate races remain too close to call.

■ Republicans retained control of the House of Representatives, with 228 seats to the Democrats’ 199 and one independent. Seven races remain undecided.

■ Republican John Thune defeated South Dakota Senate Democratic leader Tom Daschle — the first time in a half century a Senate leader has been voted out of office.

■ Republicans also picked up Senate seats in North Carolina, Georgia, South Carolina and Louisiana, and Democrats picked up seats in Illinois and Colorado.

■ Oil prices rebounded to close to $51 a barrel, stocks edged up on global markets and the dollar strengthened as Bush took the lead.

<B>QUOTES </B>

■ “We are convinced that President Bush has won re-election,” Card said, adding Bush would make a statement later yesterday.

■ “It’s been a long night, but we’ve waited for four years for this victory, we can wait one more night,” Democratic vice presidential candidate John Edwards told supporters in Boston.

<B>CAMPAIGN ISSUES </B>

■ Voters in 11 states reject gay marriage, backing state amendments defining marriage as union between a man and a woman.

■ California backs $6 billion measure to fund stem cell research

<B>John Whitesides</B>